Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -17.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.8 (+3.8) | 144.8 (-21.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.8 (+2.8) | 143.9 (-20.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.8 (+3.8) | 146.3 (-23.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -13.2 (+4.2) | 144.5 (-21.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | LSU 86 – 55 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 22.4 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#64) | 4.39 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#70) | 6.65 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#70) | 0.690 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 39.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 27.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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