Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -500 LT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -24.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -18.7 (+12.3) | 156.0 (-15.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -17.5 (+13.5) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -20.7 (+10.3) | 158.2 (-17.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -20.2 (+10.8) | 158.3 (-17.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | LSU 66 – 57 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#4) | 0.7 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#96) | 0.87 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#90) | 1.08 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#75) | 0.501 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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