Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +26 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -11.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -12.5 (+13.5) | 154.2 (+19.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -10.6 (+15.4) | 153.5 (+20.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -11.5 (+14.5) | 154.2 (+19.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -11.6 (+14.4) | 152.1 (+21.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2020 | BGSU 85 – 65 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#238) | -10.1 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#181) | -4.18 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#214) | -5.88 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#151) | 0.370 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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