Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -6.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -3.3 (-0.3) | 130.3 (+4.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -5.2 (-2.2) | 129.4 (+5.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -6.4 (-3.4) | 129.1 (+5.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -6.4 (-3.4) | 130.2 (+4.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#302) | -10.1 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#233) | -3.34 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#231) | -4.49 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#209) | 0.345 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 38.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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