Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -24.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | KU -25.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -20.2 (-12.2) | 153.4 (-1.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -21.8 (-13.8) | 158.2 (-6.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -23.8 (-15.8) | 157.0 (-5.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -22.8 (-14.8) | 155.6 (-3.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 19-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#7) | -1.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#13) | 0.34 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.10 (#4) | 0.03 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.675 (#7) | 0.524 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.