You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
M.A.C. Center · December 19, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -14.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money KENT -1000 / SOU +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual SOU +2 154 Lost
Massey KENT -10.0 (-12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 131.3 (+22.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -10.5 (-12.5) 135.4 (+18.6) 79% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -8.3 (-10.3) 136.2 (+17.8) 77% ✗
Baseline ML KENT -8.3 (-10.3) 136.3 (+17.7) 77% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -8.7 (-10.7) 135.3 (+18.7) 76% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT SOU
Overall 23-11 17-14
Conference 16-4 12-6
Home 11-4 10-2
Away 8-5 8-11
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 70.1
Avg Pts Against 66.8 68.4
Massey 0.5 (#160) -4.8 (#257)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#171) -0.52 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.22 (#168) -1.04 (#244)
RPI 0.546 (#100) 0.466 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT SOU
FG% 40.5% 41.9%
3PT% 31.0% 38.0%
REB / G 31.0 30.2
OREB / G 9.0 8.4
AST / TO 0.94 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 47.6%
TOV% 19.4% 21.6%
ORB% 27.9% 23.7%
FT Rate 22.7% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 23.6%
DRB% 67.5% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 32.1%

Game Analysis

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