Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +37 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -11.3 (+25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -11.7 (+25.3) | 144.4 (-7.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -11.3 (+25.7) | 143.6 (-6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.7 (+25.3) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -12.0 (+25.0) | 147.4 (-10.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#45) | 2.6 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#70) | 1.21 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#53) | 1.33 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#56) | 0.564 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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