Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -11.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -7.1 (-6.1) | 128.1 (-7.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.2 (-6.2) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -8.2 (-7.2) | 130.2 (-9.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -7.6 (-6.6) | 128.7 (-7.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | UIC 65 – 61 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#237) | -10.3 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#287) | -0.71 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#284) | -1.11 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#289) | 0.462 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 10.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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