Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -13.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -10.8 (-8.8) | 146.4 (-26.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -12.4 (-10.4) | 146.7 (-26.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -12.2 (-10.2) | 146.6 (-26.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -11.1 (-9.1) | 146.8 (-26.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2021 | MTST 69 – 66 PORT |
| Dec 22, 2020 | PORT 62 – 59 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#127) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#125) | -0.90 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#133) | -1.57 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#101) | 0.414 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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