Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -18.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -16.1 (-2.1) | 142.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -15.1 (-1.1) | 141.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -15.6 (-1.6) | 141.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -16.4 (-2.4) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#82) | -8.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#139) | -2.24 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#114) | -3.28 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.410 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 38.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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