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Delaware State Hornets
53 – 86
FINAL Neutral Conference Invesco QQQ Legacy Classic
North Carolina Central Eagles
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Prudential Center (Neutral) · December 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NCCU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Money DSU +310 / NCCU -435
Model Predictions
Spread Total DSU win
Actual NCCU +33 139 Lost
Massey NCCU -10.6 (-22.4) — —
Massey Totals — 138.3 (+0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 4% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NCCU -9.2 (-23.8) 137.9 (+1.1) 20% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NCCU -9.3 (-23.7) 139.0 (-0.0) 19% ✓
Baseline ML NCCU -9.8 (-23.2) 138.8 (+0.2) 16% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NCCU -9.1 (-23.9) 139.4 (-0.4) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 14, 2026 NCCU 59 – 53 DSU
Feb 28, 2026 NCCU 74 – 60 DSU
Feb 10, 2026 NCCU 72 – 63 DSU
Mar 14, 2025 NCCU 79 – 77 DSU
Feb 25, 2025 DSU 86 – 84 NCCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DSU NCCU
Overall 2-26 16-15
Conference 0-14 8-5
Home 2-11 9-2
Away 0-13 5-11
Neutral 0-2 2-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L25 L1
Avg Pts For 60.6 67.9
Avg Pts Against 75.8 71.8
Massey -19.2 (#357) -8.6 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -4.65 (#357) -1.42 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.55 (#358) -2.53 (#310)
RPI 0.259 (#359) 0.392 (#327)
Shooting & Four Factors DSU NCCU
FG% 39.1% 38.1%
3PT% 29.7% 23.6%
REB / G 33.4 35.4
OREB / G 10.6 12.6
AST / TO 0.51 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.0% 42.0%
TOV% 23.5% 23.2%
ORB% 29.6% 31.7%
FT Rate 18.2% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 21.7%
DRB% 59.7% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 12.5% 33.5%

Game Analysis

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