Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -8.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -7.6 (-12.6) | 134.7 (+28.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -7.3 (-12.3) | 132.5 (+30.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -7.2 (-12.2) | 136.4 (+26.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -7.4 (-12.4) | 136.3 (+26.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | BU 72 – 70 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#122) | -1.0 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#115) | -0.59 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#108) | -0.77 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.461 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.