Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -14.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -11.0 (-7.0) | 142.4 (-32.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.1 (-8.1) | 145.5 (-35.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -12.6 (-8.6) | 144.5 (-34.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -11.9 (-7.9) | 143.8 (-33.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMCC 76 – 63 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LAM 65 – 61 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 0-18 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#179) | -9.4 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#60) | -3.34 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#65) | -3.97 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#111) | 0.337 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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