Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | HART -2.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -0.0 (+10.0) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -2.9 (+12.9) | 141.3 (-1.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -0.6 (+10.6) | 145.7 (-5.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -0.0 (+10.0) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | CCSU 82 – 73 HART |
| Dec 4, 2020 | HART 80 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#343) | -6.3 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#332) | -2.47 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.50 (#332) | -3.08 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#312) | 0.355 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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