Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | HART -410 CCSU +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | HART -14.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HART -9.2 (+5.8) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -7.9 (+7.1) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -7.7 (+7.3) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | CCSU 82 – 73 HART |
| Dec 18, 2021 | CCSU 75 – 65 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-9 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#233) | -12.2 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#124) | -1.28 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#124) | -1.91 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#133) | 0.469 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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