Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | HART +180 CCSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -6.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -4.7 (-4.3) | 130.8 (+24.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -5.8 (-3.2) | 129.3 (+25.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -4.9 (-4.1) | 129.7 (+25.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -4.6 (-4.4) | 128.9 (+26.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | CCSU 75 – 65 HART |
| Dec 4, 2020 | HART 80 – 65 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -19.7 (#362) | -9.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#361) | -2.55 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.83 (#361) | -2.87 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#361) | 0.393 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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