They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–19 on winners spread MAE 9.0 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ Memphis +10.5 154.0 84% 74–73 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +12.9 149.8 88% 77–86 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop +4.6 147.9 72% 82–77 ✗
Towson @ Charleston +6.6 137.8 78% 82–78 ✗
Stony Brook @ Delaware +8.0 143.1 81% 68–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -5.7 149.2 26% 82–70 ✓
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T -5.5 146.2 28% 65–72 ✗
Monmouth @ Drexel +7.9 133.3 79% 74–78 ✓
Hampton @ Hofstra +15.3 145.3 90% 77–86 ✓
Campbell @ William & Mary +1.8 136.1 58% 77–64 ✗
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +3.2 153.6 65% 72–90 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +3.8 147.4 68% 88–81 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -0.3 147.2 48% 66–91 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +0.5 147.9 50% 70–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -5.8 146.6 26% 70–62 ✓
Maine @ UMBC -3.7 147.2 32% 65–70 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +0.6 149.1 52% 97–76 ✗
Queens University @ Jacksonville +1.6 153.3 60% 77–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -0.0 156.0 50% 75–84 ✗
Florida International @ Liberty +11.1 144.4 86% 69–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State +9.8 147.8 84% 66–84 ✓
Seattle U @ Stephen F. Austin +2.7 139.0 67% 84–89 ✓
Troy @ South Alabama -1.9 149.3 41% 71–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ James Madison +19.0 143.2 90% 70–89 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ South Dakota -8.5 139.5 20% 73–74 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota -1.5 148.4 46% 77–87 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota State +4.9 147.1 71% 87–90 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State -2.5 164.2 40% 78–70 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +14.3 150.5 89% 96–86 ✗
North Alabama @ Austin Peay +4.4 141.1 69% 80–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ UT Arlington +9.0 153.6 83% 73–91 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +5.1 138.5 72% 71–79 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +8.0 149.7 81% 75–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona -4.7 139.8 34% 65–84 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan -5.0 151.1 33% 88–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +5.8 141.3 73% 53–85 ✓
Little Rock @ Southern Indiana -2.9 147.3 37% 77–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Lindenwood -4.2 132.5 30% 78–59 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +1.9 153.5 62% 65–75 ✓
Oregon State @ Utah +14.8 148.8 88% 47–74 ✓
Washington @ California -2.5 154.9 37% 77–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +14.4 139.8 88% 65–78 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP +4.3 124.9 65% 59–73 ✓
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State -2.7 141.7 35% 70–72 ✗
Idaho @ Idaho State +3.1 135.6 64% 59–64 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +4.9 145.5 68% 80–78 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -13.4 142.4 14% 88–69 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -9.7 148.8 19% 86–61 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +4.9 148.2 73% 97–69 ✗
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +2.2 144.1 63% 71–79 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.3 136.8 50% 56–80 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton -2.0 134.6 42% 67–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +7.0 137.8 75% 65–76 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +4.7 147.4 68% 70–86 ✓
Washington State @ Stanford +0.4 145.2 54% 89–75 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +13.8 139.8 88% 74–90 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill -0.7 142.6 42% 76–69 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +12.9 143.6 88% 91–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.