Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–19 on winners spread MAE 9.6 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arizona @ Duke +2.5 147.8 41% 78–73 ✗
Morehead State @ Purdue +30.2 148.9 91% 57–87 ✓
UCF @ Miami +17.7 148.7 86% 72–88 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ohio State +4.1 140.4 52% 73–66 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Kentucky +26.8 133.1 90% 61–81 ✓
Boston University @ Rutgers +5.3 131.9 76% 45–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Louisville — — — 81–71 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Vanderbilt +5.7 134.1 76% 67–74 ✓
Boston College @ The Citadel +2.7 139.7 65% 75–71 ✗
Troy @ Oregon State — — — 80–81 —
Austin Peay @ George Mason — — — 45–67 —
Princeton @ Hofstra — — — 74–67 —
Maryland @ Davidson — — — 61–64 —
Detroit Mercy @ Cincinnati +16.5 137.3 87% 61–93 ✓
Abilene Christian @ NC State +10.2 129.5 75% 64–84 ✓
Marshall @ Radford -2.1 146.5 36% 62–66 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Greensboro — — — 78–94 —
Wake Forest @ Georgia -0.0 149.9 59% 77–80 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Iona — — — 81–88 —
Samford @ VCU +5.8 139.9 80% 65–75 ✓
Belmont @ Furman — — — 76–99 —
Monmouth @ West Virginia +10.2 133.5 80% 73–65 ✗
Virginia @ Florida -4.4 140.3 30% 73–70 ✓
Binghamton @ Pittsburgh +22.8 140.8 89% 60–89 ✓
Southern Miss @ Akron — — — 54–72 —
Lehigh @ Penn State +23.9 140.5 88% 65–74 ✓
UTSA @ Minnesota +16.5 143.6 84% 76–102 ✓
Manhattan @ Kansas +16.1 138.6 79% 61–99 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Arkansas — — — 68–86 —
Indiana State @ Alabama — — — 80–102 —
Oakland @ Illinois +16.0 140.7 85% 53–64 ✓
Alabama State @ Iowa +21.5 146.1 87% 67–98 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ South Dakota — — — 79–100 —
Bellarmine @ Kansas State +6.5 144.1 76% 75–83 ✓
Grambling @ Colorado — — — 63–95 —
Tennessee Tech @ Murray State — — — 72–78 —
Eastern Washington @ Ole Miss +15.3 140.3 86% 64–75 ✓
Nicholls @ LSU +22.4 152.9 88% 68–66 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Oklahoma +27.6 148.9 90% 43–82 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Auburn — — — 71–86 —
Queens University @ Southern Illinois — — — 68–91 —
Harvard @ Rice — — — 89–76 —
Rider @ Marquette — — — 65–95 —
Idaho State @ St. Thomas — — — 53–54 —
Temple @ Navy +4.0 132.3 58% 75–68 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Butler +24.2 146.2 90% 56–91 ✓
Little Rock @ UIC +7.1 134.7 76% 71–86 ✓
Dayton @ Northwestern +9.1 133.5 72% 66–71 ✓
Tennessee @ Wisconsin +9.1 145.5 65% 80–70 ✗
Yale @ Gonzaga — — — 71–86 —
San Diego State @ BYU +15.4 145.0 83% 65–74 ✓
Delaware State @ Texas +23.8 139.4 90% 59–86 ✓
Montana @ Oregon — — — 61–75 —
IU Indianapolis @ Valparaiso — — — 66–56 —
Sacramento State @ Stanford +12.0 145.8 82% 73–91 ✓
Wright State @ Colorado State — — — 77–105 —
Memphis @ Missouri +12.4 157.8 81% 70–55 ✗
Clemson @ UAB -6.6 137.2 30% 77–76 ✓
Virginia Tech @ South Carolina -0.5 141.7 51% 77–79 ✗
UC Riverside @ Utah — — — 53–82 —
Jackson State @ California Baptist — — — 66–80 —
Prairie View A&M @ Washington State +13.9 140.0 84% 65–83 ✓
Lafayette @ UCLA +20.9 135.3 89% 50–68 ✓
Pacific @ California +15.2 132.7 79% 87–79 ✗
Texas State @ Miami (OH) +6.8 136.3 73% 75–65 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Brown +11.3 146.4 82% 77–75 ✗
Stonehill @ UConn +27.9 135.1 91% 67–107 ✓
High Point @ Wofford — — — 98–99 —
UL Monroe @ Central Michigan +9.2 137.3 73% 74–64 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Eastern Michigan +3.7 141.1 47% 60–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ Bowling Green +20.4 137.1 88% 75–81 ✓
Cornell @ Fordham +5.4 142.0 61% 78–73 ✗
William & Mary @ George Washington +17.1 137.1 85% 89–95 ✓
Georgia State @ Western Michigan -0.5 148.8 47% 77–70 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston — — — 50–82 —
North Dakota State @ Creighton +18.2 150.4 81% 60–89 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ UNC Asheville — — — 83–66 —
Campbell @ East Carolina — — — 63–77 —
Western Carolina @ Notre Dame — — — 71–61 —
South Alabama @ Buffalo — — — 70–56 —
Old Dominion @ Ball State — — — 68–73 —
Incarnate Word @ Tulsa +18.5 136.2 88% 71–85 ✓
Utah Tech @ Jacksonville State — — — 81–79 —
Northeastern @ La Salle +8.1 134.3 78% 74–79 ✓
Marist @ UMBC +4.3 148.4 54% 65–59 ✗
Texas Southern @ Arizona State +6.8 136.7 77% 52–63 ✓
Saint Peter's @ NJIT -1.3 141.3 27% 75–48 ✓
Coppin State @ Mount St. Mary's +16.7 131.1 89% 60–74 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Seton Hall +9.7 141.8 68% 55–85 ✓
Canisius @ St. Bonaventure +9.5 146.0 78% 70–67 ✗
App State @ Northern Illinois — — — 78–91 —
UT Martin @ Mississippi State — — — 63–87 —
Montana State @ Seattle U — — — 68–71 —
Drexel @ Winthrop +1.8 134.3 49% 74–72 ✗
Ohio @ Cleveland State +9.4 149.5 79% 78–82 ✓
Milwaukee @ Providence — — — 69–79 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.