Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -2500 BING +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -24.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -18.2 (+10.8) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -22.8 (+6.2) | 140.8 (+8.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | PITT 103 – 63 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#10) | 1.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#99) | -0.38 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#56) | -0.53 (#198) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 58.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 27.7% |
| ORB% | 44.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 11.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 32.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 82.7% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.6% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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