Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +40 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -22.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -20.7 (+19.3) | 131.9 (+34.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -16.2 (+23.8) | 135.1 (+30.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -17.7 (+22.3) | 135.2 (+30.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -17.6 (+22.4) | 132.3 (+33.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | PITT 89 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | -17.2 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#181) | -3.73 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#193) | -5.15 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.307 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 37.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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