The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Reilly Center · November 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SBU -12.0 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Under
Money SBU -900 / CAN +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total SBU win
Actual CAN +3 137 Lost
Massey SBU -10.8 (-13.8)
Massey Totals 151.0 (-14.0)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Tuned ML SBU -6.9 (-9.9) 146.3 (-9.3) 72%
Baseline ML SBU -9.5 (-12.5) 146.0 (-9.0) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2025 SBU 8970 CAN
Nov 9, 2024 SBU 8778 CAN
Nov 13, 2022 CAN 8480 SBU
Nov 14, 2021 SBU 6960 CAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SBU CAN
Overall 20-13 14-18
Conference 9-9 8-12
Home 11-4 8-4
Away 5-6 3-12
Neutral 4-3 3-2
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.5 69.1
Avg Pts Against 68.6 72.2
Massey -3.7 (#229) 0.7 (#142)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#109) -0.32 (#166)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.44 (#133) -0.43 (#169)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors SBU CAN
FG% 45.8% 48.4%
3PT% 35.5% 45.5%
REB / G 29.0 37.0
OREB / G 8.0 16.0
AST / TO 1.70 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 56.2%
TOV% 15.2% 17.6%
ORB% 25.0% 40.0%
FT Rate 13.6% 7.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.8% 59.2%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 14.1%
DRB% 50.0% 61.8%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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