Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Reilly Center · November 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SBU -20.5 Away covered
O/U 137.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SBU win
Actual SBU +9 129 Won
Massey SBU -20.7 (-11.7)
Massey Totals 136.2 (-7.2)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Tuned ML SBU -17.5 (-8.5) 139.8 (-10.8) 88%
Baseline ML SBU -20.1 (-11.1) 136.5 (-7.5) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2025 SBU 8970 CAN
Nov 9, 2024 SBU 8778 CAN
Nov 11, 2023 CAN 7067 SBU
Nov 13, 2022 CAN 8480 SBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SBU CAN
Overall 23-10 11-21
Conference 12-5 7-13
Home 13-2 9-5
Away 7-4 1-15
Neutral 3-4 1-1
Last 5 1-0 0-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.0 67.3
Avg Pts Against 66.5 72.5
Massey 5.3 (#58) -3.4 (#244)
Bradley-Terry 0.40 (#123) -1.17 (#290)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#109) -1.75 (#296)
RPI 0.312 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors SBU CAN
FG% 50.0% 36.7%
3PT% 28.6% 30.4%
REB / G 37.0 32.5
OREB / G 11.0 9.5
AST / TO 1.67 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 43.8%
TOV% 9.5% 17.2%
ORB% 32.4% 22.6%
FT Rate 22.4% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.0% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 24.7% 21.2%
DRB% 74.3% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 12.0% 28.3%

Game Analysis

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