Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +320 SBU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +9 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -7.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -1.7 (-7.3) | 140.4 (+24.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -0.1 (-9.1) | 138.6 (+26.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | SBU 89 – 70 CAN |
| Nov 11, 2023 | CAN 70 – 67 SBU |
| Nov 13, 2022 | CAN 84 – 80 SBU |
| Nov 14, 2021 | SBU 69 – 60 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 1-12 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#224) | 5.2 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#178) | 1.01 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#212) | 1.69 (#26) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 26.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 41.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 27.8% |
| DRB% | 54.1% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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