Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Reilly Center · November 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SBU -21.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SBU -10000 / CAN +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SBU win
Actual SBU +19 159 Won
Massey SBU -27.3 (-8.3)
Massey Totals 140.4 (+18.6)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Tuned ML SBU -13.1 (+5.9) 135.3 (+23.7) 87%
Baseline ML SBU -16.7 (+2.3) 133.8 (+25.2) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2024 SBU 8778 CAN
Nov 11, 2023 CAN 7067 SBU
Nov 13, 2022 CAN 8480 SBU
Nov 14, 2021 SBU 6960 CAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SBU CAN
Overall 17-17 10-21
Conference 4-14 5-15
Home 9-7 7-8
Away 4-7 3-13
Neutral 4-3 0-0
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 62.2
Avg Pts Against 75.4 71.4
Massey 2.0 (#106) -7.4 (#263)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#29) -0.34 (#177)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.45 (#30) -0.53 (#230)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors SBU CAN
FG% 40.0% 36.0%
3PT% 36.4% 36.8%
REB / G 44.0 31.0
OREB / G 15.0 11.0
AST / TO 1.08 0.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 43.0%
TOV% 19.7% 30.1%
ORB% 38.5% 33.3%
FT Rate 21.7% 10.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 58.8%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 6.3%
DRB% 85.3% 64.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.1% 54.9%

Game Analysis

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