I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Walsh Gymnasium · November 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -16.0 Home covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Money HALL -1400 / FDU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +30 140 Won
Massey HALL -6.7 (+23.3) — —
Massey Totals — 151.0 (-11.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -5.8 (+24.2) 146.7 (-6.7) 57% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -9.7 (+20.3) 141.8 (-1.8) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2021 HALL 93 – 49 FDU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL FDU
Overall 25-12 15-17
Conference 13-7 9-7
Home 17-4 7-7
Away 5-6 8-9
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak W5 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 73.3
Avg Pts Against 69.9 78.4
Massey -1.4 (#185) 7.1 (#31)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#106) 1.94 (#8)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.53 (#106) 2.67 (#12)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors HALL FDU
FG% 50.0% 47.6%
3PT% 42.9% 39.1%
REB / G 27.0 39.0
OREB / G 8.0 9.0
AST / TO 0.92 3.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.1% 54.8%
TOV% 21.6% 7.8%
ORB% 32.0% 21.4%
FT Rate 52.4% 36.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 27.7% 16.6%
DRB% 61.3% 65.2%
Opp FT Rate 13.5% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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