Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -1000 EWU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -20.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -12.2 (-1.2) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -15.3 (-4.3) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#190) | -6.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#97) | -0.38 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#107) | -0.61 (#237) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.8% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 52.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 11.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 10.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.7% | 64.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 44.8% |
Game Analysis
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