Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -175 SAM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -19.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -5.9 (+4.1) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.8 (+4.2) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | VCU 83 – 57 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-6 | 18-0 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 84.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#281) | -12.6 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#290) | -0.38 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#293) | -0.63 (#249) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 25.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 16.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 28.7% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 8.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 7.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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