Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Under |
| Money | MIZ -160 MEM +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +15 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -18.1 (-33.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-41.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -12.4 (-27.4) | 157.8 (-32.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -9.0 (-24.0) | 155.8 (-30.8) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | MEM 83 – 75 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L19 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#108) | -0.7 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#87) | 0.32 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#81) | 0.44 (#131) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.2% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.6% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 28.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.9% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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