Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -3300 COPP +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -33.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -14.7 (-0.7) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -16.7 (-2.7) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | COPP 83 – 78 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 2-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#152) | -17.7 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#216) | -2.37 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#207) | -3.62 (#300) |
| RPI | — | 0.000 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 21.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 4.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.3% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 13.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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