Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +100 MSM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | COPP -14.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -3.6 (+1.4) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -4.6 (+0.4) | 146.7 (+14.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | MSM 74 – 60 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-16 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#182) | -1.3 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#265) | -0.43 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#267) | -0.63 (#218) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 47.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 24.5% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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