Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -4000 NICH +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -23.3 (-25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -17.1 (-19.1) | 153.5 (-19.5) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -22.4 (-24.4) | 152.9 (-18.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 26, 2020 | LSU 86 – 80 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#14) | 2.2 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#77) | -0.32 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#58) | -0.41 (#166) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.6% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 53.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 69.5% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 40.7% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.8% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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