Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -24.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -18.8 (-12.8) | 152.0 (+14.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -20.8 (-14.8) | 152.1 (+13.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -22.4 (-16.4) | 151.5 (+14.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -22.4 (-16.4) | 153.2 (+12.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | NICH 68 – 66 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 14-2 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 17.6 (#7) | -2.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#61) | -0.41 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#64) | -1.10 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#49) | 0.510 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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