Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -36.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +38 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | KU -18.7 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.1 (+25.9) | 145.4 (+14.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -16.1 (+21.9) | 138.6 (+21.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-1 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#20) | 5.7 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#75) | 1.94 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#60) | 2.44 (#18) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 69.6% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 56.5% | 6.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.40 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 81.2% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.4% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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