Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | NU -220 DAY +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NU -13.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -9.1 (-4.1) | 133.5 (+3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -7.0 (-2.0) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | DAY 71 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#183) | 0.3 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#93) | 0.38 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#104) | 0.56 (#91) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 37.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 37.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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