Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -1400 MONM +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -11.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -8.3 (-16.3) | 135.6 (+2.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -10.2 (-18.2) | 133.5 (+4.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#209) | 1.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#120) | -0.38 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#114) | -0.53 (#199) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.5% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.5% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.2% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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