Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | BRWN -650 L-MD +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -21.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -9.3 (-11.3) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -11.3 (-13.3) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | L-MD 75 – 70 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-7 | 2-11 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#67) | -1.6 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#188) | -0.38 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#162) | -0.57 (#218) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 62.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 81.8% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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