Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -38.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +40 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -35.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+41.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -23.0 (+17.0) | 141.2 (+32.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -27.9 (+12.1) | 135.1 (+38.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | CONN 85 – 54 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 2-14 |
| Home | 17-0 | 4-8 |
| Away | 8-3 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | W13 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#19) | -10.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#116) | -0.27 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#61) | -0.51 (#195) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.1% | 32.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.3% | 37.9% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 45.5% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 42.1% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.4% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 8.2% |
Game Analysis
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