Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -5000 BU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +24 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -10.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.1 (+19.9) | 133.7 (-19.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.3 (+18.7) | 131.9 (-17.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | 2.1 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#279) | -0.38 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#276) | -0.51 (#194) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 81.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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