Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Schottenstein Center · November 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money OSU -120 / TA&M +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual TA&M +7 139 Lost
Massey OSU -7.3 (-14.3)
Massey Totals 143.1 (-4.1)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline ML OSU -4.1 (-11.1) 140.4 (-1.4) 52%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -4.1 (-11.1) 142.6 (-3.6) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2024 TA&M 7864 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU TA&M
Overall 22-14 21-15
Conference 9-11 9-9
Home 15-5 10-5
Away 2-8 6-6
Neutral 5-1 5-4
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.5 76.0
Avg Pts Against 70.2 72.0
Massey -3.1 (#217) 4.8 (#58)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#95) 0.32 (#138)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.48 (#121) 0.48 (#116)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors OSU TA&M
FG% 46.2% 46.7%
3PT% 28.0% 39.3%
REB / G 42.0 47.0
OREB / G 13.0 16.0
AST / TO 1.08 1.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 55.8%
TOV% 19.6% 17.4%
ORB% 40.6% 47.1%
FT Rate 46.2% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 33.3%
Opp TOV% 13.6% 15.7%
DRB% 72.5% 81.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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