Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -250 OSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -3.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -7.2 (+6.8) | 135.3 (+6.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -6.4 (+7.6) | 137.0 (+5.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.6 (+10.4) | 136.8 (+5.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -4.6 (+9.4) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | TA&M 73 – 66 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#33) | 15.2 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#142) | 1.90 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#131) | 2.88 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#53) | 0.854 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 48.0% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 60.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 43.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 34.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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