Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -700 UPST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -12.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -4.3 (+2.7) | 137.0 (+4.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -5.7 (+1.3) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#267) | -4.6 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#291) | -0.38 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#289) | -0.60 (#229) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.8% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.7% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 14.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 11.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 63.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.