Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +120 OHIO -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -21.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.7 (-5.7) | 148.6 (+11.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -9.4 (-5.4) | 149.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | OHIO 81 – 70 CLE |
| Nov 14, 2021 | OHIO 67 – 56 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2020 | OHIO 101 – 46 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#35) | 0.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#156) | 0.38 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#155) | 0.56 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#9) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 9.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 45.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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