Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -700 CLE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +55 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -15.3 (+39.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -13.4 (+41.6) | 141.6 (+5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -16.7 (+38.3) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -19.6 (+35.4) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | CLE 82 – 78 OHIO |
| Nov 12, 2022 | OHIO 81 – 70 CLE |
| Nov 14, 2021 | OHIO 67 – 56 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-8 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#21) | 3.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#40) | -0.90 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#40) | -1.66 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#124) | 0.333 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.7% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 3.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 11.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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