I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Wolstein Center · November 14, 2021
Betting Lines
O/U 143.0 Under
Money CLE +105 / OHIO -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLE win
Actual OHIO +11 123 Lost
Massey CLE -8.1 (-19.1) — —
Massey Totals — 149.8 (-26.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CLE -3.7 (-14.7) 147.6 (-24.6) 63% ✗
Baseline ML CLE -3.1 (-14.1) 144.6 (-21.6) 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CLE -1.2 (-12.2) 141.2 (-18.2) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2023 CLE 82 – 78 OHIO
Nov 12, 2022 OHIO 81 – 70 CLE
Dec 6, 2020 OHIO 101 – 46 CLE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLE OHIO
Overall 20-11 25-10
Conference 15-6 14-6
Home 15-3 15-2
Away 5-7 8-6
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-1 1-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 73.6
Avg Pts Against 71.0 67.9
Massey 0.2 (#167) 4.2 (#80)
Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#182) 0.54 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.30 (#183) 0.85 (#82)
RPI 0.750 (#33) 0.875 (#22)
Shooting & Four Factors CLE OHIO
FG% 35.7% 48.5%
3PT% 25.0% 43.2%
REB / G 31.0 29.0
OREB / G 10.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.67 2.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 39.3% 60.3%
TOV% 9.5% 10.9%
ORB% 24.4% 23.5%
FT Rate 26.8% 14.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 21.9% 17.2%
DRB% 67.7% 80.8%
Opp FT Rate 46.8% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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