Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -450 CLE +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -17.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.0 (+3.0) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -10.4 (+0.6) | 137.8 (+13.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | CLE 82 – 78 OHIO |
| Nov 14, 2021 | OHIO 67 – 56 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2020 | OHIO 101 – 46 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#70) | 1.0 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#221) | -0.43 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#164) | -0.59 (#203) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 11.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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