Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.0 Under |
| Money | BGSU -150 ARST +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -22.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -16.6 (-10.6) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -20.4 (-14.4) | 137.1 (+18.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ARST 91 – 54 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#95) | -4.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#146) | -0.38 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#146) | -0.60 (#228) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 19.0% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 40.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.