Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +118 TXST -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -14.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -4.7 (-14.7) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -6.8 (-16.8) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#99) | 3.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#210) | -0.38 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#189) | -0.46 (#179) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 53.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 21.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| ORB% | 16.1% | 50.0% |
| FT Rate | 7.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 84.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.2% | 37.3% |
Game Analysis
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