All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Bramlage Coliseum · November 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -16.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money KSU -2000 / BELL +1300
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +8 158 Won
Massey KSU -19.6 (-11.6)
Massey Totals 148.8 (+9.2)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 90%
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -6.6 (+1.4) 144.9 (+13.1) 75%
Baseline ML KSU -6.5 (+1.5) 144.1 (+13.9) 76%
Baseline Plus ML KSU -6.3 (+1.7) 146.6 (+11.4) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 9, 2025 KSU 9871 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU BELL
Overall 19-15 8-23
Conference 8-10 4-12
Home 14-3 6-7
Away 2-9 2-16
Neutral 3-3 0-0
Last 5 0-1 0-1
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 67.5
Avg Pts Against 71.1 76.8
Massey -4.1 (#234) -8.5 (#277)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#274) -0.33 (#169)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.42 (#274) -0.53 (#197)
RPI 0.750 (#9) 0.500 (#24)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU BELL
FG% 31.0% 34.4%
3PT% 24.2% 30.4%
REB / G 44.0 28.0
OREB / G 23.0 10.0
AST / TO 0.82 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 36.6% 40.2%
TOV% 22.3% 26.2%
ORB% 42.6% 25.6%
FT Rate 23.9% 13.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 70.7%
Opp TOV% 23.4% 21.9%
DRB% 67.7% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 15.5%

Game Analysis

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