Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +27 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -21.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -16.1 (+10.9) | 148.5 (+20.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -20.5 (+6.5) | 148.1 (+20.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | KSU 83 – 75 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 83.3 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#98) | -3.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#156) | -0.36 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#153) | -0.54 (#214) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 51.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 29.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 8.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 7.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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