Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -130 WAKE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -10.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -1.6 (+1.4) | 151.3 (+5.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -0.0 (+3.0) | 149.9 (+7.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2024 | UGA 72 – 66 WAKE |
| Nov 12, 2022 | WAKE 81 – 71 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | 1.4 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#277) | 0.50 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#278) | 0.75 (#49) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.8% | 56.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 63.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 58.8% | 90.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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